标题: 14~15赛季总结与展望 [打印本页] 作者: 爱上德罗西 时间: 2015-6-7 00:00 标题: 14~15赛季总结与展望 <h1 style="margin:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">前言</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></h1>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">希望我的分析,别太主观。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">数据主要来自搜达:</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://www.sodasoccer.com/">http://www.sodasoccer.com</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">数据如有误,请告知。毕竟老眼昏花。。。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<h1 style="margin:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">一、总结</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></h1>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">漫长的赛季终于结束了。以赛季初球队喊出的夺冠口号看,本赛季无疑是彻头彻尾的失败。然而客观评价球队目前的实力,联赛第二和欧冠小组第三实属情理之中。只是“平狼”的称号和本赛季的球场表现难以满足球迷。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<h2 style="text-indent:24.1pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">1</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:
宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">、球队</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:
"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">冬歇期总结了球队在欧冠的表现,不再赘述。欧联和意大利杯匆匆收场。这儿主要写联赛。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span lang="EN-US">38</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">轮</span><span lang="EN-US">19</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">胜</span><span lang="EN-US">13</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">平</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">负,</span><span lang="EN-US">70</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分。落后榜首尤文</span><span lang="EN-US">17</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分,积分差距与上赛季持平;领先身后的追赶者</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分,积分优势相比上赛季少</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分——压力山大。这是球队在多年来首次欧冠正赛、非洲杯抽兵和大面积伤病的情况下交出的答卷。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:24.0pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)与联赛前六名的对抗</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span lang="EN-US">10</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场比赛,罗马</span><span lang="EN-US">5</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">胜</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">平</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">负,拿到</span><span lang="EN-US">18</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">输尤文的比赛,可能是近年来罗马表现最好的一场。这场比赛激励我:本赛季罗马尤文四六开;同时提醒我:尤文的强大不仅仅在场内。输那不勒斯的比赛,可以说是完败。如果不是对方脚风不顺,这场恐怕是大比分。如何延阻对手攻防转换的速度?这个课题会一直伴随主打控制的加西亚。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">几场平局的场面其实很难看。平紫百合的那场,中场对抗完败,以至于处处受制于人——纳英戈兰和斯特鲁曼搞不定皮萨罗。平尤文的那场,难以进入</span><span lang="EN-US">40</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">米区域,更别提创造威胁了——别人铁了心守,我们还真没办法。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:24.0pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)与其他球队的对抗</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span lang="EN-US">28</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场比赛,罗马</span><span lang="EN-US">14</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">胜</span><span lang="EN-US">10</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">平</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">负,拿到</span><span lang="EN-US">52</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">如果把阴沟翻船定义为输球,那罗马翻了</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">次;如果定义为没拿下</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分,那罗马翻得有点多。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">值得回忆的比赛较少。巴勒莫的平局,内容比较丰富:皮亚尼奇戴上队长袖标;帕雷德斯首发且表现不俗;德斯特罗进球;维尔德首秀替补;阿斯托里大礼包。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)球队进球</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">进球</span><span lang="EN-US">54</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">个,联赛排名第八。相较于罗马造价不菲的锋线,实在是无颜提及性价比。那么问题来了:究竟是教练战术不对头还是锋线球鞋不合脚?我想,两方面的因素都有。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">本赛季联赛,罗马传威胁球</span><span lang="EN-US">400</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">次,联赛第六。作为参考,尤文</span><span lang="EN-US">457</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">次,进</span><span lang="EN-US">72</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球;那不勒斯</span><span lang="EN-US">477</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">次,进</span><span lang="EN-US">70</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球;拉齐奥</span><span lang="EN-US">393</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">次,进</span><span lang="EN-US">71</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球;佛罗伦萨</span><span lang="EN-US">475</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">次,进</span><span lang="EN-US">61</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">罗马的传威胁球次数较少,比尤文等队低了一个档次。同时进球与传威胁球比例也显著低于拉齐奥、尤文和那不勒斯(排名分先后)。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">传威胁球数较少,和比赛节奏、战术实行效果有关,加西亚的锅逃不了;转化为进球的效率低,更多的是锋线的责任。两种因素叠加,造就了罗马的进球难。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)球队丢球</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">丢球</span><span lang="EN-US">31</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">个。数据不错,仍有不足。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">尤文在欧冠半决赛体现出的防守,令人叹为观止。缺乏个人突破的皇马,难以将控球优势转化为进球。罗马的防守质量相较尤文还有不小的差距,比如防守阵型相对松散、肋部保护跟人不紧等等。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">本赛季特别令人不满的是后防线出现的低级失误——低压迫甚至无压迫的情况下丧失球权——太多了。由于后防线所处的位置,这些低级失误极有可能导致失球。需要说明的是:这些低级失误大多不是防线长时间受压迫后产生的。如果某个球员单赛季低级失误</span><span lang="EN-US">5</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">、</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">次,是不是应该少用甚至不用?总该有个底线。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<h2 style="text-indent:24.1pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">2</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:
宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体">、球员</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">以下数据限于意甲。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)球员进球</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">进入前</span><span lang="EN-US">50</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">的分别是利亚伊奇、托蒂和外租的德斯特罗,均打进</span><span lang="EN-US">8</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球。尤文</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">人进入前</span><span lang="EN-US">50</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,那不勒斯</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">人,拉齐奥</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">人。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">伊图尔贝,</span><span lang="EN-US">17</span><span style="font-family:
宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场首发</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-family:
宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:
宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">助。伤病频繁,但不足以解释苍白的球场表现。速度快、对抗强、技术糙、视野窄。他的威胁极度依赖于空间,是防反的一把好手。倘若身前有个站桩中锋,效果更好。只可惜,面对意甲大多数球队,罗马没有必要自缚手脚摆大巴;多年来累计投入如此之高,罗马此刻也没有站桩中锋。他在球队的定位很可能只是一名合格的轮换。比较本赛季和上赛季,似乎不是伊图尔贝成就老托尼第</span><span lang="EN-US">N</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">春,而是老托尼提携伊图尔贝当上了意甲最佳新秀。延伸出去,评估球员,不仅看数据,更要看支撑数据的原因。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">敦比亚,身体调整好之后,四场首发</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球。把伤病、状态不佳、替补等不利因素去掉,他的数据显示他物超所值。不过,现实中能去掉所有的不利因素吗?下赛季谁是首发中锋,恐怕尚无定数。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-family:
宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)球员助攻</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">皮亚尼奇并列意甲第一。托蒂、热鸟、佛罗伦齐进入意甲前</span><span lang="EN-US">50</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">皮亚尼奇,我对你的期待可不只是助攻意甲第一。佛罗伦齐每年都在进步,不知道明年带来怎样的惊喜。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family:
宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)球员传威胁球</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">皮亚尼奇意甲第四,和第二的差距只有</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">个。托蒂、利亚伊奇、佛罗伦齐进入意甲前</span><span lang="EN-US">50</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">本赛季,利亚伊奇的表现先扬后抑。思路和皮亚尼奇很近,离其他球员还有点远。趁着托蒂没退役,再多学点。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-family:
宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)题外话</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%;mso-pagination:widow-orphan"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">我想找突破成功率和失去球权的数据。可惜没有找到。这两个数据有助于分析罗马庞大的边锋群。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<h2 style="text-indent:24.1pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">3</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:
宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体">、教练</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:45.0pt;text-indent:-21.0pt;
mso-char-indent-count:0;line-height:150%;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo2"><!--[if !supportLists]--><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family:Wingdings;mso-fareast-font-family:Wingdings;
mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings">u<span style="font-stretch: normal; font-size: 7pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman';"> </span></span><!--[endif]--><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">保守与激进</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">加西亚是激进与保守的矛盾体。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">保守,是因为罗马在领先后习惯性的放慢节奏、回收阵型。罗马在联赛中先进球而收获平局共</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场,罗马为自己的保守仅损失</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分。相比较于继续压制带来的扳平风险和体能消耗,该策略实测效果不错。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">激进,是因为罗马的开局始终追求中场控制权,无论对手是谁。拜仁给罗马好好上了一课。客观的说,面对人员齐整、力求三分的拜仁,无论罗马摆出怎样的阵型,抑或实行怎样的战术,都难逃败局。但是我实在想不出结果比</span><span lang="EN-US">1-7</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">更惨痛的战术。控制型球队一旦控制不住,场面势必极其被动。如果不肯放低姿态,那么丢掉的就不仅仅是场面了。相比较而言,孔蒂、阿囧甚至工程师更务实:结果我拿走,场面无所谓。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:45.1pt;text-indent:-21.0pt;
mso-char-indent-count:0;line-height:150%;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><!--[if !supportLists]--><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family:Wingdings;mso-fareast-font-family:Wingdings;
mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings">u<span style="font-stretch: normal; font-size: 7pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman';"> </span></span><!--[endif]--><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">轮换</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">面对赛事压力,轮换最重要。而出场时间是最合适的指标:罗马共有两名球员进入意甲出场时间</span><span lang="EN-US">top50</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,分别是德桑(</span><span lang="EN-US">9</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)和纳英戈兰(</span><span lang="EN-US">44</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">);尤文三人;那不勒斯三人。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">关于中场轮换,曾经在另一个帖子中和大神讨论过。数据显示:相同的比赛场次,罗马的纳、德、皮和尤文的马、比、博出场时间相差无几。可以判断:加西亚对主力中场采取和阿囧相同的轮换措施,只是效果远不如阿囧:罗马中场只是无过——并非球队赛季中期取分不畅的责任人;尤文中场则是有功——攻城拔寨带走三分(博格巴、比达尔进入意甲进球前</span><span lang="EN-US">50</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">关于锋线轮换,耳熟能详的是加西亚对热鸟的坚持。</span><span lang="EN-US">14~15</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">赛季,热鸟意甲</span><span lang="EN-US">24</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">1899</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;欧冠及欧联</span><span lang="EN-US">10</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">721</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;外加非洲杯</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">358</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">2978</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。比赛任务太繁重?再看看其他球队锋线大腿的出场情况:</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">梅西,西甲</span><span lang="EN-US">38</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">3376</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟(休息</span><span lang="EN-US">44</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。。。);欧冠</span><span lang="EN-US">12</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">1046</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟(休息</span><span lang="EN-US">34</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。。。);国王杯</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">540</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">4962</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。明天凌晨还有一场欧冠决赛,超过</span><span lang="EN-US">5000</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟,妥妥的。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">内马尔,西甲</span><span lang="EN-US">33</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">2577</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;欧冠</span><span lang="EN-US">11</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">937</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;国王杯</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">504</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">4018</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span lang="EN-US">C</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">罗,西甲</span><span lang="EN-US">35</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">3099</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;欧冠</span><span lang="EN-US">12</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">1065</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;国王杯</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">118</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">4282</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">伊瓜因,意甲</span><span lang="EN-US">37</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">2787</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;欧联杯</span><span lang="EN-US">837</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;意大利杯</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">280</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">3904</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">阿扎尔,英超</span><span lang="EN-US">38</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">3372</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;欧冠</span><span lang="EN-US">8</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">564</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;联赛杯</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">397</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;足总杯</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">15</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">4348</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">桑切斯,英超</span><span lang="EN-US">35</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">2950</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;欧冠</span><span lang="EN-US">8</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">675</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;联赛杯</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">90</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;足总杯</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">476</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">4191</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">阿奎罗,英超</span><span lang="EN-US">33</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">2542</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;欧冠</span><span lang="EN-US">7</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">550</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;联赛杯</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">21</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;足总杯</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">场</span><span lang="EN-US">90</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟;合计</span><span lang="EN-US">3203</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(未计算友谊赛、世界杯,未计算伤停补时,即:打满全场视为</span><span lang="EN-US">90</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟或</span><span lang="EN-US">120</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分钟)</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">以上球员所属球队的赛事密集度均不亚于罗马。一周双赛是否就应该让球员歇歇?对于锋线大腿,安胖们给出的答案是“否”。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">看来,加西亚艹锋线大腿的狠劲比安胖、贝大师、木鸟、教授差一个档次,和工程师相当。论坛是不是要换换风向:批评加西亚艹锋线大腿艹得不够狠?至于为啥身价</span><span lang="EN-US">8M</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">的热鸟成为加西亚眼中的锋线大腿,除了加西亚对干儿子的青睐,是否也有一个同行衬托的故事呢?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">单列恩里克,是因为梅西的出场时间有点夸张。能把锋线大腿“轮换”到这个级别,不知道恩里克算不算的上是“前无古人”?期待老球迷科普一下。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<h1 style="margin:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt"><span style="font-family:宋体;
mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">二、展望</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></h1>
<h2 style="text-indent:24.1pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">1</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:
宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体">、目标</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">夺冠:本赛季,两回合的比赛,罗马尤文四六开;但是赛季并非只有两轮,意甲也不同于西甲,罗马的稳定性差尤文不少。随着尤文陆续签下强援,下赛季罗马和尤文的差距只会越拉越大。如果目标夺冠,不仅需要升级投入,还需要升级眼光、升级教练。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">保二:本赛季适应各种不利因素如欧冠、非洲杯与核心球员大修,罗马还是拿下第二。即使下赛季拉齐奥三线作战无虞;那不勒斯、紫百合聚焦联赛;国际米兰不再动荡,罗马也是联赛第二最有力的竞争者。如果目标只是保二,那么率队连续两个赛季拿到第二名的加西亚还能凑合。换个教练换种姿势保二?收益不大,风险不小。美国老板是成年人。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">欧冠小组晋级:以罗马目前的实力,面对二档球队输多赢少;面对较弱的三档球队,尚可一战;如果运气好,再分到较弱的一档球队,罗马应该有三成的晋级可能。如果想增加出现的概率,还得再补补阵容。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">其他各项赛事:罗马还没有强大到齐头并进的地步,总得有取舍。这两年,那不勒斯有实力争第二,可是为了兼顾杯赛,未能威胁罗马的位置。紫百合近几年有实力冲击第三,却始终差口气。如果联赛进不了欧冠区,又拿不到欧联冠军,欧战积分再高又有何用?罗马还是把精力集中在意甲联赛上为宜。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<h2 style="text-indent:24.1pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"">2</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:
宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体">、升级</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:16.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">这儿的脑洞开得特别大。不喜欢</span><span lang="EN-US">YY</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">的,可以跳过这一节。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">前文提及,联赛夺冠可能性极小。那么球队还有必要在近两个赛季构建一支具备争冠实力的球队吗?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">可以预料,尤文将长期保持强势。一旦米兰双雄借底蕴翻身,届时横亘在罗马面前的就不只是尤文一支球队了,恐怕夺冠难度远大于今日。美国人一直向球迷承诺长远目标。如果美国人的长远目标中包含联赛夺冠,那么就少不了短期激进的那一天。而近两个赛季,可能是短期激进受益较大风险较小的时候。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)升级投入</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">球队维持当前的净投入水平,罗马难以缩小和尤文之间全方位的差距,成绩想要更进一步几无可能。毕竟,仅仅祈祷买进的人物超所值或者指挥的人运筹帷幄以填补阵容间的鸿沟,未免太托大了。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span lang="EN-US">FFP</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">的确带来很多限制。既然无法脱离这枷锁,那就按照游戏规则加大商业开发。不说违规的资金来源,至少其他球队能够合理拥有的商业收入,罗马也该享受。“少”可以接受,毕竟罗马不是豪门;“无”有些说不过去,除非另有打算。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)升级眼光</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">利用现有资源补强阵容是萨巴蒂尼的工作。这份工作很艰难,但萨巴蒂尼做得很不错,也得到了队长的支持——托蒂于近日接受采访时呼吁大家继续信任萨巴。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">信任萨巴的同时,容我鸡蛋里挑几根骨头。罗马近两年在锋线上的投入不小。先后引进热鸟</span><span lang="EN-US">8M</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,利亚伊奇</span><span lang="EN-US">14M</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,伊图尔贝</span><span lang="EN-US">22M</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">以及敦比亚</span><span lang="EN-US">15M</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,累计</span><span lang="EN-US">59M</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">。即使考虑到罗马吸引力不足等因素,本赛季的</span><span lang="EN-US">37M</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">也能买一条很粗的大腿了。可惜,没有如果。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">萨巴蒂尼引援针对性强、价格适中,如果看人——这里特指前锋——能够再准一些,那就更好了。毕竟,突破过不了人或者射门打不中门框范围,很难说是主教练的责任。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">净投入多不代表阵容升级。两者间缺的一环是交易不吃亏。</span><span lang="EN-US">QPR</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">前几年的净投入可不少,成绩呢?花</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">千元买小米替换手上的华为,投入是挺多的,效果有多大?美国老板要换手气,恐怕加西亚不是唯一的对象。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.1pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">(</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">)升级主帅</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">冠军的悬念在</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">月份提前终结。这个成绩,我不满意。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">加西亚不是顶级教练。球队给他并列第二的牌,他能够拿到第二——据说是“同行衬托”;却无力夺冠——执教能力有限。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">不仅执教能力有限,而且他的战术也正在被摸透并针对。看看克洛普、西蒙尼、罗杰斯的境况。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:45.1pt;text-indent:-21.0pt;
mso-char-indent-count:0;line-height:150%;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><!--[if !supportLists]--><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family:Wingdings;mso-fareast-font-family:Wingdings;
mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings">u<span style="font-stretch: normal; font-size: 7pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman';"> </span></span><!--[endif]--><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">克洛普</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">多特没有夺冠的实力,理由可以是拜仁挖墙脚。多特进不了前三,理由可以是如潮的伤病。但是多特进不了前六?我想主要原因还是多特的战术被德甲其他球队针对。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:45.1pt;text-indent:-21.0pt;
mso-char-indent-count:0;line-height:150%;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><!--[if !supportLists]--><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family:Wingdings;mso-fareast-font-family:Wingdings;
mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings">u<span style="font-stretch: normal; font-size: 7pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman';"> </span></span><!--[endif]--><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">西蒙尼</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">一赛季之隔,马竞从联赛</span><span lang="EN-US">90</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分掉至</span><span lang="EN-US">78</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">分,只是因为少了科斯塔和库尔图瓦?在相对奔放的西甲,马竞的传威胁球数量仅为</span><span lang="EN-US">331</span><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">,这个数字似乎有点不够看。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="margin-left:45.1pt;text-indent:-21.0pt;
mso-char-indent-count:0;line-height:150%;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><!--[if !supportLists]--><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family:Wingdings;mso-fareast-font-family:Wingdings;
mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings">u<span style="font-stretch: normal; font-size: 7pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman';"> </span></span><!--[endif]--><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">罗杰斯</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">据说已经有球迷打出“战术天才”的横幅了。还能说什么呢?</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">上述几位一度红得发紫,如今难比当年风光。可见当战术被熟悉、被针对,教练距离吃瘪也就不远了。加西亚,下赛季意甲第三年,且行且珍惜。球迷的胃口已经吊起来了,没有进步就是退步。弗格森?天时地利人和。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">我不反对为了夺冠而升级主帅。只是,换帅有两处比较麻烦的地方。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">其一,这样的教练不好找。有能力带领罗马在两个赛季内夺得意甲冠军的教练有几个?恐怕木鸟的成功概率也不超过五成。而安胖瓜秃,以我小人之心,根本不会接受这样的挑战。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">其二,新帅的成绩压力大。俱乐部解雇率队意甲第二的主帅,潜台词很清楚。换言之,新帅没有犯错的机会。手脚被缚,还能有大作为的人,不多。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:24.0pt;mso-char-indent-count:2.0;
line-height:150%"><span style="font-family:宋体;mso-ascii-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"">当然,换帅肯定有阵容变化:带来一干亲信,踢开一批旧人。只不过这亲信是热鸟、马大眼还是博扬,就看罗马造化了。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>